KKR in IPL

The Indian Premier League 2012, one of the most exciting cricket tournaments is about to begin. The million dollar question about who is going to win the cup will be answered only by the end of the tournament. All teams look good enough on papers to win it. I being an ardent supporter of Kolkata Knight Riders will be speaking about its chances in this year’s IPL

Kolkata Knight Riders till now haven’t shown much of its fire power in IPL. They were on the receiving end for all three editions of the IPL. But in IPL 4, with a new captain Gautam Gambhir, the side seemed to have risen from its ruins. The batting has looked strong and stable with likes of Gambhir and Tiwary, and pacers like Brett Lee provide the perfect bowling stability needed along with a good spin attack in the form of Iqbal Abdulla and Shakib Al Hasan. All-rounders like Yusuf Pathan and Jacques Kallis, with their mammoth experience give the team a strong balance. RTD has also proved his worth and played his part whenever he got a chance.  The team for this year looks good with proper balance in all departments

Kolkata Knight Riders Squad for IPL 2012

Department

Player Name

Jersey No

Country

 Batsmen Gautam Gambhir (Captain)  05  India
Manoj Tiwary  09  India
Eoin Morgan  16  England
 All-Rounder Jacques Kallis  03  South Africa
Laxmi Ratan Shukla  06  India
Rajat Bhatia  22  India
Ryan ten Doeschate  27  Netherlands
Yusuf Pathan  28  India
Shakib Al Hasan  75  Bangladesh
 Wicket Keeper Shreevats Goswami  12  India
Brad Haddin  24  Australia
Manvinder Bisla  36  India
Brendon McCullum  90  New Zealand
 Bowler Sarabjit Ladda  01  India
James Pattinson  04  Australia
Shami Ahmed  14  India
Pradeep Sangwan  17  India
Iqbal Abdullah  21  India
Brett Lee  58  Australia
Jaydev Unadkat  98  India
Lakshmipathy Balaji  55 India
Sunil Nariner West Indies
Marchant de Lange South Africa

KKR’s performance has not been good in the last 4 IPL. Their records stand as follows

Overall games played

56

wins

24

Batting 1st

12

Batting 2nd

12

 Loss

29

Batting 1st

19

Batting 2nd

10

KKR’s overall record

This shows that KKR has a better record of winning if the bat 2nd. Though from the charts the chances don’t seem too high.

Now if we look deeply into their records we can find

Total games home

21

Total games away

21

Wins  

13

61.90%

Wins  

8

38.10%

Batting 1st  

5

Batting 1st  

6

Batting 2nd  

8

Batting 2nd  

2

Loss  

8

38.10%

Loss  

12

57.14%

Batting 1st  

5

Batting 1st  

6

Batting 2nd  

3

Batting 2nd  

6

No result  

1

Top-KKR’s record home                                               Bottom- KKR’s record away
Total games neutral

14

Wins  

3

Batting 1st  

1

Batting 2nd  

2

Loss  

9

Batting 1st  

8

Batting 2nd  

1

No result/tied

2

KKR’s record in neutral venue

It can be seen that batting 1st they have won 50% of their times for home and away both. But batting 2nd shows a significant difference in their performance. They have won 73% of their times batting 2nd in their home ground and lost 75% in away games and again won 67% in neutral venues. The neutral venues include the matches in the 2009 season where they won only 3 games out of which 2 where batting 2nd.  Therefore if we go by the records KKR should opt to chase in their home games if Gambhir wins the toss. The away wins and neutral wins of KKR are few and if we combine both then the wins percentage is about 36 % when they batted 2nd. If we look properly into the squad we can see that it clearly has a better bowling attack than batting. So obviously they have a better chance of winning if they can restrict the opponent to a low target and then chase it. However this is not possible if they play on away grounds. The opponents are of course very strong in their respective home grounds and so it becomes difficult for KKR to win away.

If we look in the head to head records for home and away of KKR we can see

Head to head home Head to head away
Team Win Loss Team Win Loss
Bangalore

2

1

Bangalore

1

2

Deccan

3

0

Deccan

3

0

Delhi

2

0

Delhi

1

1

Kochi

0

1

Kochi

0

1

Mumbai

1

2

Mumbai

0

2

Pune

0

0

Pune

1

0

Punjab

2

1

Punjab

1

1

Rajasthan

2

1

Rajasthan

1

2

Super Kings

1

2

Super Kings

0

3

As this year there won’t be any games played in neutral venues in the league stages, so to compare head to head I have considered only home and away games

It can be seen that KKR has brilliant record against the DC as they have won all the 6 games. The worst record is against Kochi against whom they have lost both the games. However Kochi isn’t playing this years IPL. The next hardest opponents for KKR have been CSK and MI.  Against both of them they haven’t won any of their away games. Interestingly out of those 5 games KKR has batted 1st in 4 occasions. Batting 1st  they could not set up a high target due to a relatively weak batting lineup  or because of the heavy batting line up of CSK and MI they could not defend their total. KKR has been moderate against all the other teams winning mostly in their home matches.

If we look at the winning curve of KKR we can see that KKR has never lost their 2nd game of the tournament.  In 2008 against DC they have won by 5 wickets, in 2009 against KP they have won by 11 runs, in 2010 they have won against RCB by 7 wickets and in 2011 they have won again against DC by 9 runs. This year they play against RR for an away game.

Overall they have to play 16 matches and out of which if they can win 9 matches then they can be assured of playing the next round. If we consider that they will defeat DC again in the 2 matches maintaining their records and will win against RR in the 2nd game then they will have 6 more matches to win.  Pune warriors seem weaker than the other teams and so KKR can target Pune. However Ganguly being the captain will make it difficult for KKR to win in their home game against Pune. Although they have a good chance of winning in their away game against Pune. To win against MI and CSK, KKR needs to play a team with strong batting. In 20-20 format its always better to have a good batting side against a good batting team as however strong the bowling be the good batsman are going to score anyway. So the only way to defeat a good batting team is by having good batsman in their own team. Thus if KKR can manage to win at least one game out of the 4 games against MI and CSK combined, they will have 5 wins in total taking all the previous assumptions.  The other wins have to come from DD, KP and RCB. They play DD in their 1st game and interestingly KKR has won all their 1st games in alternate seasons. Likewise KKR has a good chance of winning this year’s clash against DD in their 1st game as they have lost in the last season’s 1st game. Moreover it’s a home game for KKR and KKR has never lost against DD at home. That leaves us with 3 games to be won out of 5. KKR has a moderate record against KP and RCB. They have to defeat either of the teams in both games.  Out of KP and RCB, KP seem to have a side with lesser batting power and KKR is good with such teams. So they have to target KP and win against them.

If KKR can play upto their potential, they have a good chance of going to the next round. The batting which has been a worry for KKR seems good with inform players like Gambhir, Kallis and Tiwary. Also if Mccullum can show some fireplay it will be very useful for KKR. All rounders like RTD, Pathan and Shakib can also be very useful.

All in all KKR has to play strategically, weigh their opponents and use their strengths accordingly to perform well in this year’s IPL.

My squad for KKR will be

Home game Away game
Gambhir Gambhir
Kallis Kallis
Tiwari Tiwari
Mcculum Mcculum
Pathan Eoin Morgan
Bisla Pathan
RTD/shakib Shukla
Shukla/Abdullah Bhatia
Bhatia Sangwan
Sangwan Abdullah
Lee/Pattinson Lee/Pattinson

What is your squad???

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